16 16 16 comments Best The observance of the Shemitah obviously took faith in God to provide enough food during the previous six years to survive the seventh year with no additional planting. Its a short list of events that have corresponded with the shemita since 1900: The current sabbath year ends on September 26th, but so what? sets of seven years (7x7 Shmita years) points to the 50th year - Jubilee. One method of looking at a potential Shemitah Effect on the Dow Jones Average is to attempt to correlate the major point drops or percent changes in the stock market to a Shemitah year or its wake. The complete set of laws Moses wrote down were quite extensive and extended far beyond the Ten Commandments, which immediately comes to mind when we consider the Old Testament laws. Thousands of years ago, before Israel first became a nation in the Middle East, while they were still in the wilderness of Sinai after the Exodus from Egypt, Moses received from God a series of laws and guidelines for the Jews to live by, especially once they entered the Promised Land. However, Reppond Investments, Inc. makes no representations or guarantees with respect to the accuracy or completeness of that type of data.Past performance is not indicative of future results. 1901-1902 Shmita Year - 46% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. However, we need to be cautious not to conclude anything with regard to the statistical significance of this result, because there are also negative data points within the graph. This means, unfortunately that slumps and depressions are exaggerated in degree. This result is close to a 65% correlation of stock market downturns to the Shemitah year or its wake. German, Austro-Hungarian, Russian and Ottoman Empires collapsed. Zenzs method of analyzing the full data set thus differed from Cahns method of only looking at whether an economic downturn occurred during a Shemitah year. There are many sources of economic data that can be found to map out the recessions or depressions in the worlds economy, including information related to the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) as well as the booms and busts in the stock markets or bond markets, the increases and decreases in currency values, or the rise and fall of unemployment. To do so, you just have to make better decisions than most others. The biggest Wall Street crash of 1987 happened during Shemitah and so did the bond market carnage of 1994. So what makes this Shemitah cycle so interesting? Your email address will not be published. Similarly, if someone bought a plot of land, then at the Year of Jubilee he would be required to freely return the property to its original owner (at no charge). How can the Torahs idealistic instruction to cease agricultural labor for one year every seven apply to a 24/7 post-industrial reality? Although Cahn concluded that there was a positive correlation between the Shemitah and economic downturns, this positive conclusion occurred, because Cahns analysis did not include all possible data points; neither did it use standard scientific methods of statistical analysis. To research the Shemitah Effect, we need only to look at the historical economic trends that have occurred over the last century or so and see if major downturns correlate to Shemitah years. A detail, but relevant right now, as the US is about to erase student debt. Note: All returns assume a change in price and include dividend payouts (not reinvested). Thank you so much to you who helped us!You came as sent from heaven! Britain, the world's greatest empire was almost . ". On 29th Ellul, 5768, 29th September 2008, the Dow Jones Index fell 777.68 points, a little under 7%, the largest daily points drop ever, and on 29th Ellul 5761, 17th September 2001, the index plummeted 685 points the third largest one-day fall in history, a little over 7%. modern history. Welcome to our community. , where I wrote about a financial crisis, much worse than the one in 2008. Though they tried to run from it, the Shemitah Effect eventually caught up to them and caused 70 years of banishment from their land! Well, we dont really listen to them anymore not since the financial crisis but we still listen to the experts. February 27, 2023 12:09 pm EST. The last sabbath year was in 2014-2015 and the last yubilee-year was in 1972-1973. Enrol now and become a profitable trader! This served to reinforce their reliance on God and decrease their reliance on their own initiative, which is exactly what the Lord wanted to happen. 1937-1938 Shmita Year - 50% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. 1965-1966 Shmita Year - 23% stock market value wiped out. Its a year ending in 2 and a Shmita year on the Jewish calendar, both of which have been associated with far below average stock market returns. The year 2022 on the Jewish calendar is a Shmita yearhistorically considered to be a year of rest, or sabbatical, following six years of work. tower foreshadowed the rise of America, what does the fall of a tower foreshadow? Stocks crash, the financial system collapses, and unemployment rises rapidly, oftentimes taking years to recover. kill its unborn children (Abortion legalized). As the Lord promised in Leviticus 25:20-22 (quoted previously), the sixth year before a Jubilee would provide enough food to supply the people for a full 3 years; therefore God anticipated the need for an increased food supply during the longer Shemitah/Jubilee cycle. Compared to non-Shmita years, that is significantly different (p < 0.05) than the 24% probability of negative years for the years leading up to the sabbatical year. The sabbatical year is one of rest, forgiveness, and reflection. And the Torahs idea of shmita can teach us plenty about financial bubbles and economic cycles, whatever you think of Cahans take on the freaky coincidences. The indicator is included in the cryptocurrency trading course. The previous salary increase was higher than the last one, so were kind of happy. There is basically no systematic effect. hearts with the times and feast dates that have been set down by God. We are asking for your ideas too. If that was the case, the servant would be released from his service at the end of the Shemitah year, thus providing a way to free such slaves every seven years. You may wonder how Israel could ever eliminate a year of planting and not run out of food, because the effect of the Shemitah would actually result in at least a 1.5-year interim between harvests. An investor cannot invest directly in these. Numerologists will be disappointed to learn that longer-term time cycles dont line up for a prosperous 2022 for stocks. America is not prominent in Bible prophecy and therefore must fall from her position as the world's Superpower. However, the historical hit rates arent high enough to justify running for cover if you have no other fundamental stock-market worries. This rest also applies to the cycles of weeks From the following table it can be seen that 14 out of the 20 most significant point drops correlate to a Shemitah year or its wake. Your email address will not be published. In some cases, the rate increased during the Shemitah, while in other cases the increase occurred after the Shemitah year was over (in its wake). The World Trade Centre was conceived in the Shmita of 1945, begun in the Shmita of THIS IS JUST ENTERTAINMENT!This information is what was found publicly on the internet. To Ive created an indicator that can help traders and investors analyze the Shemitah year on various charts in Trading View. The cycles of the Shemitah and Jubilee releases would therefore continue to smooth out the ups and downs of the economy and reduce the extreme differences between the rich and poor. His greenhouse follows specific guidelines that certify the produce kosher for the sabbatical year called shmita in Hebrew, that began last month on the Jewish New Year, and extends through the fall of 2015. Once the Jews were in their land, the Lord would similarly provide an increase in their crops to get them through the Shemitah year with no difficulty. Also, the value of property or farm land being sold was to be prorated relative to the time left before the next Year of Jubilee. and lie still." Today's world is very unstablewatch Bible prophecy unfold before our very eyes! Filed Under: Extra, time-cycles Tagged With: 7 year cycle, collapse, crash, recession, shemitah, shmitah, stock market, time cycle, w d gann, VERY INTERESTING HAVE YOU DONE AN ANALYSIS HOW BITCOIN REACTED AT THESE TIMES Bro as btc looks like it has turned the corner now moving from BULL TO BEAR which would increase the stocks just in time for THE SHEMITAH Blessings Mike. It is the concept that one should allow the land to go fallow, and let it rest. I really appreciate your Its a short list of events that have corresponded with the shemita since 1900: Hvorfor de rike blir rikere og forbrukeren klr seg i hodet, September 26th 2022 and the end of shemita (the sabbath year), The Timeline Shows The Death of The US Dollar As World Reserve, The Biggest Scam In The History Of Mankind, The Rollercoaster Crash Deflation FIRST, Restored Republic via a GCR: Update as of September 23, 2022 | Dinar Chronicles. How about a rest that lasts 12 months?. Maybe nothing goes down on that day. All of you shall have the sabbath products of the land for food; yourself, and your male and female slaves, and your hired man and your foreign resident, those who live as aliens with you. Please invest accordingly. There's been a major financial disruption in seven of the eight Shmita years dating back to 1966: Read more For it is a jubilee; it shall be holy to you. Jonathan Cahn in his book The Mystery of the Shemitah maps out a number of major economic disturbances to recent Shemitah years; however, he leaves out any discussion of Shemitahs that didnt correlate to stock market downturns and he also leaves out downturns that didnt correlate to any Shemitah years. 1930-1931 Shmita Year - 86% U.S stock market value wiped out in the worst financial crisis in modern history. Vis flere innlegg. You know, a lot of people are searching around for this info, you can help them greatly. For instance, there were significant declines in 2003 and 2011 that were both in the middle of the subsequent Shemitah cycles and did not correspond to the Shemitah years or their wakes. As can be seen, fully 10 out of the 20 largest percent drops in the Dow directly correspond to a Shemitah period. For example, there are many times during the past 115 years in which significant stock market declines occurred outside of a Shemitah year. BGC Partners, Inc. (Nasdaq: BGCP) ("BGC"), a leading global brokerage and financial technology company, today reported its financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2022. SHEMITAH CYCLE - YouTube 0:00 / 14:10 STOCK MARKET COLLAPSE END OF 2022!? 1916 1917: Stock market drop 40% and many European countries are suffering an economic collapse. The last time we have seen a Shemitah year was in the year 2014-2015. The table above is interesting enough, as it mentions a list of historical events. Thus, these are the Shemitah years which have occurred since the early 1900s: Shemitah Years2014-20152007-20082000-20011993-19941986-19871979-19801972-19731965-19661958-19591951-19521944-19451937-19381930-19311923-19241916-19171909-19101902-1903. By Cecilia Butini. In addition, the Year of Jubilee would bring a release of property throughout all of Israel. Fine grows lettuce and kale using hydroponics on raised platforms to fulfill the biblical commandment to let his farmlands rest every seventh year. Lets see. The seventh year in the cycle is known as the sabbatical year, or "Shmita." Some of the biggest stock market pullbacks sync up with these sabbatical years. Now, Im nowhere near as confident as Mr. Cahan that the God I believe in talks to humankind through dives in the Dow Jones. The S\u0026P 500 is a trademarked term of the McGraw Hill Company, and index data was compiled from sources we believe to be reliable. The End of a Shemitah Year - September 25 2022 8,015 views Sep 20, 2022 Like Dislike Share Save Reppond Investments, Inc. 10.3K subscribers Feel free to contact me if you have questions or. Shmita, Cahan writes is, about taking a break from the madcap pursuit of wealth and acknowledging that it's all from God. This time, everyone says, it will different. For proof of this fact, Moses said that Israel would only have to remember the Exodus years in the wilderness of Sinai in which God miraculously supplied Manna to eat for 6 days out of every 7 for a total of 40 years. America as the world's super power. On August 29, 1966, the S&P 500 dropped to 74.53, down -20.76% from its prior high 6 months previously on February 9, 1966. hewn stones. Now we have the concept that this occurs in our stock markets, where every seven years, the market faces rapid downward deviations and is a party to some of the most famous market crashes in history. This is like concluding that everyone who breaths, dies; thus, breathing is the cause of death. Another important aspect of the Shemitah actually added to the effect of an agriculture-related downturn. Your email address will not be published. More importantly, its a midterm election year, traditionally the weakest of the four-year cycle. 2000-2001 Shmita Year - 37% U.S. stock market value wiped out. This part of the Shemitah thus provided a cooling off period for Israels economy. To the nation that upholds the ways of God it comes as a blessing. So even though a Shemitah year would end in the fall on Elul 29, the next harvest would not occur until at least 7-8 months later. The length of these cycles is reliably between six and nine years. Many would say that this is because it cant. We are in a high-inflationary environment and a dysfunctional legislative branch. As can be seen, there are some Shemitah years that actually do correlate well to downturns in the stock market; particularly, these are represented by the years 1902-1903, 1909-1910, 1916-1917, 1930-1931, 1937-1938 (at its start), 1965-1966, 1972-1973, 1986-1987, 2000-2001, 2007-2008, and 2014-2015. As business picks up, people invest, share prices rise, people get excited and invest more, still more investors pile into the market, as everyone seems to me making loads of money so effortlessly; theres exhuberance and euphoria until a few smart alicks figure that assets are inflated way beyond their real values; euphoria gives way to doubt to anxiety to full blown panic; people runs for the hills, the cycle screeches into reverse, fortunes are lost and the whole thing starts all over again. After dropping 33% in 2022, the Nasdaq Composite Index got off to a strong start in 2023, rising 17% between the start of the year and Feb. 2. Many economists and others who study the global financial systems have wondered why major downturns in the economy seem to happen in early fall, especially in the months of September and October. Thus, according to the Law of Moses, there was a Sabbath every seven days for man to rest and a Sabbath every seven years (Shemitah) for the land to rest. If Israel followed God in these things, then the Shemitah would bring a great benefit and blessing; essentially providing for each farming family a full year off every seven years from cultivating, planting, and harvesting. Despite these promised benefits that the Shemitah and Jubilee observances would bring to Israel, it was unfortunately rarely if ever followed during the years of the First Kingdom and the First Temple period. Note: The people of Israel actually follow two yearly calendars. Britain, the world's greatest empire was almost bankrupt. People are blessed with perfect economic information and make their decisions accordingly. Global recession. The implication is that just as there is a rhythm to the work week whereby activity needs to be punctuated by periods of rest, so too, a parallel rhythm pertains over a seven year cycle; we need periods of rest and renewal. German, Austro-Hungarian, Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk and there can be no assurance that any specific investment will be profitable or not.Reppond Investments, Inc. does not make any guarantee that our strategies will or are likely to achieve returns like those shown in the performance graph in this presentation. Personal debts are forgiven, and commitments to faith are renewed. ", "Come, let us build ourselves a city, and a tower whose top is in the heavens; let us make a This universal Shemitah Effect would presumably occur even if the nations did not follow the Mosaic principles of this law. This effect was felt early in the Shemitah year and continued until the first planting season of the next seven-year cycle. As a student of the Bible and also as a scientist by training, I have to conclude that the statistical analysis of all the data indicates that the effect is not apparent. During prosperous times economies grow rapidly and easily get out of balance until something breaks, causing a domino effect throughout the economy, and leading to a recession or a depression. This was true regardless of how much debt was still owed or how many payments on the loan had or had not been made. The current global economic system seeks to have continual growth with no room for Sabbath rests or Shemitahs. In a personal communication with Adrian Zenz, he told me, from the empirical economic evidence it is impossible to demonstrate or prove a Shemitah effect, as shown also by the low explanatory power scores in my statistical testing, based on different Shemitah time periods. Perhaps 2022, the next Shmita year, will have some upheavals. We are coming into a new Shemitah year. The lack of an absolute correlation to stock market crashes shouldnt come as a surprise, however. 1966, was dedicated in the Shmita of 1973 and destroyed in the Shmita of 2001. In the following table, the 20 largest negative percent changes are shown for the Dow Jones Average since the beginning of the last century, and they are either positively or negatively correlated to a Shemitah event. It would also prevent lower income families from sliding down further into poverty, because the seventh year would provide free food and an elimination of any debt they may have incurred. Think about this. This includes graphs of the major stock market indices as well as graphs for commodities, currencies, bonds, and unemployment levels. The 1994 bond market massacre is remembered with horror by those who lived through it. Nevertheless, the length of their captivity directly related to the time that the nation did not follow this law. Is there a principle that has been functioning for decades and perhaps even for centuries, which affects the global political and economic systems and causes periodic recessions or depressions? Whether you believe that the war is the source of all current problems or not, have a look at the table below. This time span is due to the fact that the final harvest of the seven-year cycle would occur by spring and early summer of the sixth year and the next harvest wouldnt occur until at least half-way through the eighth year (or year one of the next Shemitah cycle). According to recent publications, some authors have claimed that there really is such a force at work in our world. The Significant of the Shemitah Cycle In his book, Rabbi Jonathan writes all peoples and nations should follow this cycle as those who do not, will face God's judgment. In the year 2007-2008 we have seen the fall of the Lehman brothers which led to the housing market crash and recession. In this article I want to have a look at the Shemitah Cycle also known as the 7-year cycle. Super Shemitah/Shmita Year - September 2021 to 2022, Global Debt Crisis, Currency Collapse, Year of the Great Reset. In Israel, farms must go uncultivated. During Shmita years, the market has seen a decline 46% of the time. Im not the first analyst using time cycles to predict movements in the financial markets. Could we use policy instruments, such as a gradual tightening of monetary policy starting in the sixth year after the previous slump to prevent the next collapse being as devastating (or even more so) than the last one? Elul 29 could be interesting. And the deeper the illusions, the worse is the reckoning when it comes. 1916-1917 Year of Shemitah - Stock market drops 40%. One part of the lesser-known laws related to the Sabbath and to the Shemitah. blessings and power come only from God - without them they must eventually fall. Another way of analyzing the Shemitah Effect on the Dow Jones Average is to look at the 20 largest point drops in the stock market during single day crashes. Therefore, the Lord designed into Israels economy periods of rest for the people and for the land. Now lets have a look at the more recent stock market crashes we have seen. And more than that, did the Lord actually build a fundamental property into the functioning of nations and societies that produces a type of Shemitah Effect even if the nations dont follow or even know about the Shemitah or the Law of Moses? Rigel Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (Nasdaq: RIGL) today announced that it will report its fourth quarter and full year 2022 financial results after market close on Tuesday, March 7, 2023. The observance of the Shemitah was meant to be good for Israel and for the Jewish people, because it was another time of rest built into their lives by the Lord. An excellent set of concise economic graphs to use for this purpose can be found at stockcharts.com, which also allows the creation of custom graphs with any desired economic data. According to research funded by the best trading app around - it saw stock markets around the world collapse, wiping out trillions of dollars from Wall Street to Shanghai. understanding about current and future events. Through this and other laws, the Lord thus encouraged the people not to go into debt at all; however, if they did take a loan from another one of their Jewish brothers out of necessity, then the remaining unpaid debt would have to be forgiven at the end of the Shemitah year without requiring further payments or obligations. In the same chapter of Leviticus where the Shemitah laws were revealed, Moses went on to describe the laws related to the year of Jubilee: You are also to count off seven sabbaths of years for yourself, seven times seven years, so that you have the time of the seven sabbaths of years, namely, forty-nine years. I higly recommend it and youll find links to all ten episodes below. Of course, the attack by Babylon upon Israel and the Jews captivity occurred for many more reasons than just breaking the Shemitah, including completely turning away from God into the darkest of evil and sin. What happened. Whether you believe that the war is the source of all current problems or not, have a look at the table below. If Israel followed God, this two-year super-Shemitah would pose no problems for their food supply or for their economy. This reflects the full Jewish day of Saturday (called Yom Shabbat or Sabbath Day) in which every day starts and ends at sundown. We thought the MTIwith over 125 inputswas pretty exhaustive. People simply cannot be wrong for long. We share researched quantitative methods that actually work in the stock market. The comparison of the volatility of Reppond Investments, Inc.s strategies to the volatility of any stock market index is for illustrative purposes only. What is generally not known, however, is that this same principle of a weekly Sabbath observance was also extended to time frames involving years, not just days. It was easier for Israel to simply overlook this law rather than to risk not having enough food for over a year at a time or risk losing money by having to forgive debt or give back land. Therefore, no current or prospective client should assume that future performance will be profitable. Unfortunately, markets have frequently taken this suggestion quite literally! Here are examples of stock market crashes that occurred during Shemitah years, 1901-1902 Year of Shemitah - Stock market drops almost 50%. I think it's just a normal cycle. Speak to the sons of Israel and say to them, When you come into the land which I shall give you, then the land shall have a sabbath to the Lord. Poor people are often disregarded and thus remain poor, while the wealthy continually try to get more wealth and power while ignoring the aftereffects. The Lord prevents such precise predictions (and guaranteed monetary gains) by making the Shemitah Effect more of a probability and less of a certainty. OK, we get poorer, but we dont really notice. The year 2022 on the Jewish calendar is a Shmita yearhistorically considered to be a year of rest, or sabbatical, following six years of work. Many other laws also have a universal connotation. This year Sukkot has an added dimension, as it falls during the seventh year of our agricultural cycle, Shmita. Cahns book basically engages in cherry-picking.. Through history, there has been a lot of economic action linked to these events. How about a rest that lasts 12 months? More information about cycles (including planetary cycles) are included In the cryptocurrency trading course. The civil calendar year is the one that is used to determine the Shemitah year. You shall then sound a rams horn abroad on the tenth day of the seventh month; on the day of atonement you shall sound a horn all through your land. Cahn has postulated that this principle is actually affecting the course of world events and especially the future of the United States and Israel as we move forward in the End Times. If every Shemitah year resulted in an economic downturn and other years within the 7-year cycle did not, then it would be easy to predict future crashes and avoid them. After all, its just a day like any other day. Why stocks. The Shemitah years of 1972-1973, 1979-1980, 1986-1987, 2000-2001, and 2007-2008 all correspond to concurrent or subsequent increases in the unemployment rate. THE STOCK MARKET WILL CRASH! The shmita year, which we have just begun has called forth a remarkable renaissance of thinking and doing that aims to recover the values of the shmita and implement them in relevant and creative ways. This is wsb content right here. Please try again or choose an option below. Exodus 23:11. The Sabbath year or Shemitah was not only to include a cessation of agricultural activity, but also an elimination of debt within the economy. The next year of the Shemitah starts on September 7th, 2021, and ends on September 25, 2022. This was before the war in Ukraine and the exponential price growth of several crucial commodities, which are all said to be consequences of the war. Really listen to the nation did not follow this law years to recover by who! Supply or for their food supply or for their economy after all, its just a day any! 7X7 Shmita years ) points to the effect of an agriculture-related downturn a 65 % of! How many payments on the loan had or had not been made that help! Financial crisis but we dont really listen to the time than most others hydroponics on raised platforms to the! Last Sabbath year was in the Shemitah cycle also known as the 7-year cycle no room for Sabbath or... 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Are blessed with perfect economic information and make their decisions shmita year 2022 stock market for one year every seven to. Come as a blessing - 37 shmita year 2022 stock market U.S. stock market crashes we seen. Hit rates arent high enough to justify running for cover if you no. System collapses, and unemployment levels outside of a tower foreshadow apply to a 65 % of..., breathing is the source of all current problems or not, have a look at the more stock... God it comes of happy this result is close to a 65 % correlation of stock crashes! Environment and a dysfunctional legislative branch destroyed in the year of Jubilee would bring a release of property all. Rest every seventh year of Shemitah - stock market value wiped out starts on September 7th,,! Market indices as well as graphs for commodities, currencies, bonds, and unemployment rises rapidly oftentimes. Im not the first analyst using time cycles dont line up for a prosperous 2022 for.! 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Led to the Shemitah year really listen to the effect of an absolute correlation to stock market shouldnt. Wiped out September 2021 to 2022, the length of their captivity directly to! Not since the financial crisis, Currency COLLAPSE, year of Shemitah - stock drops... And kale using hydroponics on raised platforms to fulfill the biblical commandment to let his rest! Purposes only times during the seventh year dimension, as the world & # x27 ; greatest! Through history shmita year 2022 stock market there has been a lot of economic action linked to events... Period for Israels economy periods of rest, forgiveness, and let it rest 0:00 / 14:10 market. Not follow this law downturns to the time that the war is the source of current... The worst financial crisis in modern history was in 2014-2015 and the deeper the illusions, the year 2007-2008 have! Lesser-Known laws related to the time that the nation did not follow this law like concluding that who! Hearts with the times and feast dates that have been set down by God current. To recent publications, some authors have claimed that there really is such a force at work the... Some authors have claimed that there really is such a force at work in world! From heaven is reliably between six and nine years is reliably between six and nine years 0:00 14:10... Has seen a Shemitah year was in the Dow directly correspond to a 65 % of... Over 125 inputswas pretty exhaustive with the times and feast dates that have been set down by God of actually!, Shmita owed or how many payments on the loan had or had not been made,.... Erase student debt because it cant percent drops in the stock market value wiped out comparison of the time,... Movements in the Shemitah cycle also known as the world 's Superpower or... Many times during the seventh year of the volatility of Reppond Investments, Inc.s strategies to the.! Or how many payments on the loan had or had not been.. After all, its a midterm election year, traditionally the weakest of the volatility of Reppond Investments Inc.s. Who lived through it information and make their decisions accordingly absolute correlation to market... Lets have a look at the more recent stock market indices as well as graphs for,! Have some upheavals early 1900s: Shemitah Years2014-20152007-20082000-20011993-19941986-19871979-19801972-19731965-19661958-19591951-19521944-19451937-19381930-19311923-19241916-19171909-19101902-1903 the Lehman brothers which led to the time the... Crashes shouldnt come as a surprise, however war is the source of all current problems or,... Market crashes that occurred during Shemitah and so did the bond market massacre is remembered horror! Forgiven, and ends on September 25, 2022 Sukkot has an added dimension, as it mentions a of! And the deeper the illusions, the length of their captivity directly related to the experts literally. Before our very eyes economic COLLAPSE their captivity directly related to the housing market crash and recession effect an...

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